All sessions
s-2250
Simulated shopperOct 21, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · mobile · organic · Emberline 20°F Down Bag · 12 actions
purchasedcart $279
How Qualm's guess changed
With the current settings, the store would have shown Delivery Promise after action 4 (dashed line). Hover the chart to see each step.
FitSuitabilityDurabilityValueDeliveryChoiceNo clear doubt
Chance of buying (separate abandonment model)9% → 47%
Step by step
Each action, the clue Qualm took from it, and its guess afterwards.
- 19sViewed Emberline 20°FViewed a product pageSuitability 24%
- 222sAdded to cart · Emberline 20°FAdded to cartSuitability 24%
- 343sDelivery check · ZIP 21856Checked delivery date by ZIPDelivery 74%
- 453sExpanded shipping · Emberline 20°FExpanded shipping info→ the store shows Delivery Promise hereDelivery 96%
- 51m 32sDelivery check · ZIP 98121Checked delivery date by ZIPDelivery >99%
- 61m 51sCompare + Emberline 20°FAdded a product to compareDelivery >99%
- 72m 06sImage 1 · Emberline 20°FViewed a product imageDelivery 99%
- 82m 33sViewed cartViewed cart (saw shipping cost)Delivery >99%
- 93m 09sExpanded shipping · Emberline 20°FExpanded shipping infoDelivery >99%
- 103m 19sViewed cartViewed cart (saw shipping cost)Delivery >99%
- 113m 32sCheckout startedStarted checkoutDelivery >99%
- 3m 37sPurchased
Final guess
Delivery>99%
Fit
<1%
Suitability
<1%
Durability
<1%
Value
<1%
Delivery
>99%
Choice
<1%
No clear doubt
<1%
Why deliveryhow much likelier
- Checked delivery date by ZIP ×221.1×
- Expanded shipping info ×213.0×
- Viewed cart (saw shipping cost) ×22.5×
What the shopper told us
Their survey answer, if any. For simulated shoppers you can also reveal what was really true.
- Survey answer
- Suitabilitypost-purchase · held out (calib)
Reveal synthetic ground truth
Primary doubtDelivery
Secondarynone
Resolved on its ownyes
Only available because this session was simulated. Real sessions have no ground truth.